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Paying Their Way and
Then Some:
Facts about the Contributions of Immigrants to Economic Growth and
Public Investment |
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Immigrants' Rights Update, Vol.
20, Issue 5, September
29, 2006
[PDF] |
Immigrants make a variety
of economic, social and cultural contributions to the United
States. This fact sheet details the economic contributions of
immigrants. It finds that immigrants are net contributors to
the economy and the Treasury and play an essential role in
shoring up Social Security for future generations. Expanding
pathways to legal status for immigrants is a central element of
what has come to be known as “comprehensive immigration
reform.” One exa mple of a more comprehensive approach, the legislation passed by the Senate (S 2611) would boost economic growth and improve
the solvency of the Social Security Trust Fund.
The economic and fiscal
benefits of immigration should not be the sole driver of
immigration policy but are important to keep in mind,
particularly because “some of the fundamental economics of
immigration are too often obscured by misguided commentary.”[1] A lack of understanding about the economic and
fiscal benefits of immigration has also led to misguided public
policies that discriminate against immigrants despite their
contributions. For example, federal policies adopted in 1996
deny subsidized health insurance and other federal public
benefits to many immigrant workers, even though they pay federal
and state taxes that fund these benefits.
Immigrants Fuel the
U.S. Economy through Their Hard Work and Entrepreneurship
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Immigrants comprise
approximately 15 percent of the United States labor force.
They figure prominently in key economic sectors in the U.S.,
including agriculture, construction, and services.[2]
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Immigrants
provide leadership and labor for the expansion of growing
economic sectors — from telecommunications and information
technology to health services and housing construction. In
fact, immigrants accounted for almost half of the increase
in the labor force in the U.S. between 1990 and 2000.[3]
Over the next few decades, immigrants will
play an increasingly critical role in boosting economic
growth in the U.S. According to David Ellwood, Dean of the
Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University, most of
the future growth in the labor force will come from
immigrants.[4]
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The latest
research finds that recent immigration has a “sizable
beneficial effect on the wages of U.S. born workers.” Wages
are boosted “because immigrants stimulate investment, have
skills sets and educational levels that complement those of
natives, and do not compete for the same jobs as most
natives.”[5] Similarly,
a recent study by the Pew Hispanic Center finds that “[t]he
relative youth and low levels of education among foreign
workers appear to have no bearing on the employment outcomes
of native-born workers of similar schooling and age.”[6]
Immigrants are Net
Contributors to the Economy and Play an Essential Role in
Shoring Up Social Security
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In June 2006, more than 500
economists and social scientists of varying political
perspectives signed a letter to President Bush and members
of Congress expressing their concern that, in the current
debate over immigration, “some of the fundamental economics
of immigration are too often obscured by misguided
commentary.”[7] The prominent signatories, including five Nobel
Prize winners, reiterated the consensus that immigration is
a positive force on the U.S. economy and a net gain to U.S.
citizens.
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The 2005 Economic Report of the President concludes that
“summing up the economic benefits and costs of immigration
shows that over time, the benefits of immigration exceed the
costs.”[8] The report also states, “[I]mmigrants typically
do not impose a net cost at the Federal level.” Even George
Borjas, the economist most often cited by advocates of
greater restrictions on immigration agrees that the benefits
of immigration to the U.S. exceed its costs.[9]
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A
1997 study by the National Academy of Sciences found that
tax payments generated by immigrants outweigh any costs
associated with services used by immigrants.[10]
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A
2005 report from the National Foundation for American Policy
(NFAP) found that a moratorium on legal immigration would
require increasing Social Security taxes on Americans by
$407 billion in present value over 50 years.[11] According to the NFAP, such a tax increase would
cost an American earning $60,000 in 2004 more than $1,860 in
higher payroll taxes over the next ten years. Conversely,
the NFAP finds that increasing legal immigration by a third
would mean that American earning $60,000 in 2004 could have
their Social Security taxes reduced by $600 over ten years.
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Undocumented immigrants contribute to the tax rolls and the
Social Security Trust Fund. The U.S. Social Security
Administration has estimated that undocumented immigrants
contribute approximately $8.5 billion in Social Security and
Medicare funds each year.[12] The U.S. Internal Revenue Service has determined
that undocumented immigrants paid almost $50 billion in
federal taxes from 1996 to 2003.[13]
The Senate’s
Immigration Bill (S 2611) Would Boost Economic Growth by as Much
as $1 Trillion over the Next Decade and Improve the Solvency of
the Social Security Trust Fund
The Senate bill contains
two types of provisions: (1) enforcement provisions that
increase funding for various immigration enforcement measures
and personnel, and (2) provisions that create new pathways to
legal status, including allowing some currently undocumented
immigrants to obtain legal status, reducing current visa
backlogs, and providing new visas for certain “guest workers.”
According to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), the
provisions that provide new pathways to legal status would
result in increased federal tax revenues, increased spending for
certain federal benefits, and greater economic growth.
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According to the CBO, the
Senate bill would add about 2.5 million employees to the
U.S. workforce by 2016. The CBO finds that “the work
performed by these additional employees would increase the
production of goods and raise the level of gross domestic
product (GDP) . . . .”[14] Based on the CBO’s estimate of the impact of
S 2611 on economic growth, the immigrant provisions of the
bill would add $36 billion a year to GDP on average from
2007 to 2011 and $134 billion a year from 2012 to 2016.
Over the next ten years, S 2611 could add more than $1
trillion to gross domestic product.[15]
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The
provisions of the Senate bill that provide new pathways to
legal status would boost federal revenues in two ways: (1)
the amount of federal taxes paid by immigrants would
increase under the bill by about $43.6 billion over the next
decade; and (2) the increases in economic growth would
increase the federal taxes paid by the (mostly U.S.-citizen)
beneficiaries of that growth by about $65.5 billion. Thus,
S 2611 would boost federal revenues by $109.1 billion over
the next decade. As the figure above shows, the net federal
fiscal benefit of S 2611 would be almost $61 billion over 10 years.
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According
to an estimate by the Social Security Administration,
implementation of the Senate bill would reduce the projected
long-term deficit in the Social Security trust fund.
Between now and 2016 alone, the net cash flow of the Social
Security fund would improve by $27 billion.[16]
(See also,
in this issue of
Immigrant’s Rights Update: “The
Economic and Fiscal Effects of the Senate’s Comprehensive
Immigration Reform Act of 2006,”
Figure1, “The
Economic Benefits of the Senate’s Immigration
Bill;” and
Figure 2,
“The Fiscal Benefits of S. 2611.”)
[2] Ishwar Khatiwada, et al,
New Foreign
Immigrant Workers and the Labor Market in the U.S.: The
Contributions of New Immigrant Workers to Labor Force
and Employment Growth and Their Impact on Native Born
Workers, 2000 to 2005 (Center for Labor Market
Studies and National Center on Education and the
Economy, Aug. 2005),
www.levitan.org/resources/New%20Immigrant%20
Population_2005.pdf.
[3] Andrew Sum, et al,
Immigrant Workers
and the Great American Job Machine: The Contributions of
New Foreign Immigration to National and Regional Labor
Force Growth in the 1990s (Report prepared for
the Business Roundtable, Aug. 2002).
[4] David Ellwood, “How We Got Here,” in
Grow Faster
Together or Grow Slowly Apart: How Will America Work in
the 21st Century? (The Aspen Institute Domestic
Strategy Group, undated).
[7] “Open Letter on Immigration,” supra note
1.
[10] Testimony of Ronald D. Lee, Member, National
Academy of Sciences Panel on the Demographic and
Economic Impacts of Immigration, before the Senate
Immigration Subcommittee: “Economic and Fiscal Impact of
Immigration,” Sept. 9, 1997. The full report is
available at
http://darwin.nap.edu/books/0309063566/html.
[14] Statement of Paul R. Cullinan, Chief, Human
Resources Cost Estimates Unit, Congressional Budget
Office, before the Committee on the Budget, United
States Senate: “The Budgetary Impact of Current and
Proposed Border Security and Immigration Policies,” Aug.
30, 2006,
www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/75xx/doc7511/08-30-Immigration.pdf.
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